|
February 28,
2013
2013 Season Preview
The
2012 Thunder Bay season came to a close in October with the crowning of
another repeat Champion. This time, the franchise winning manager
was Alan Lehman of the San Antonio Saints. Alan took over a very
good Chemung franchise and in his first season compiled an overall 12-4
postseason record en route to his TBBL title. The Los Angeles
Halos won the American League pennant for the first time as well in 2012
and further enhanced their spot among the league all time best teams.
2012 Predcitions |
Team |
2012 Finish |
My Prediction |
Team |
2012 Finish |
My Prediction |
x-Halos |
1 |
1 |
x-Grizzlies |
1 |
4 |
x-Barons |
2 |
2 |
x-Wildcat |
2 |
3 |
Devils |
3 |
4 |
x-Rats |
3 |
1 |
Damage |
4 |
5 |
x-Gladiators |
4 |
2 |
Volcanoes |
5 |
3 |
Smackdown |
5 |
5 |
Bombers |
6 |
6 |
CityHawks |
6 |
6 |
Team |
2012 Finish |
My Prediction |
Team |
2012 Finish |
My Prediction |
x-Saints |
1 |
1 |
x-Bitteroots |
1 |
1 |
x-Eagles |
2 |
2 |
x-Camel Camp |
2 |
2 |
x-Confederates |
3 |
3 |
x-Raiders |
3 |
3 |
Panthers |
4 |
4 |
Seals |
4 |
6 |
Flyers |
5 |
5 |
Komets |
5 |
5 |
Mammoths |
6 |
6 |
Paddlers |
6 |
4 |
x- Indicates Playoff Team |
Last year I predicted 3 out of the 4 Division Winners correctly and
nearly had the World Series Champion picked. Overall, 15 out of
the 24 slots were predicted correctly (62.5%). I recall writing that I
felt the two best teams in the TBBL were both in the National League
(Osama and San Antonio) but this quote couldn't have been more wrong :
"I anticipate seeing a classic 7 game NLCS and am really looking
forward to the battle." The Saints swept the Camel Camp in the
NLCS and secured the title five games later. Adrian Gonzalez
(.355-28-114) took home the NL MVP while Mark Reynolds (.284-64-161) won
the AL MVP. Justin Verlander (19-4, 2.34 ERA) won his 4th Cy Young
Award while Jered Weaver (21-7, 2.50 ERA) won his first.
So many
experts have been using the latest and greatest statistic WAR (Wins Above
Replacement) to determine a
players value. While I am a stat geek by nature, there is no way possible
anyone without a degree from MIT can figure out a player's WAR. We here at
the TBBL have decided to "borrow" Fangraphs player WAR values and import them
into your TBBL team to help us figure out who will win the title in 2013.
Below is the team WAR and Salary chart for 2013:
Team |
Batter WAR |
Pitcher WAR |
Total WAR |
WAR Rank |
Team Salary |
Salary Rank |
LAH |
44.4 |
28.5 |
72.9 |
1 |
$188,764,000 |
1 |
PHS |
42.1 |
24.8 |
66.9 |
2 |
$99,249,000 |
15 |
OCS |
35.1 |
29.7 |
64.8 |
3 |
$158,009,000 |
3 |
JER |
36.0 |
28.7 |
64.7 |
4 |
$134,159,000 |
9 |
BEA |
42.6 |
20.8 |
63.4 |
5 |
$131,853,000 |
11 |
SAS |
37.9 |
19.6 |
57.5 |
6 |
$157,497,000 |
4 |
KEN |
38.6 |
18.3 |
56.9 |
7 |
$142,946,000 |
6 |
MOO |
29.1 |
27.4 |
56.5 |
8 |
$140,902,000 |
7 |
HOU |
33.3 |
23.1 |
56.4 |
9 |
$139,451,000 |
8 |
PAD |
31.4 |
22.4 |
53.8 |
10 |
$73,468,000 |
20 |
NEW |
33.7 |
19.9 |
53.6 |
11 |
$108,496,000 |
14 |
COL |
34.2 |
18.9 |
53.1 |
12 |
$160,919,000 |
2 |
FLY |
29.6 |
22.2 |
51.8 |
13 |
$81,683,000 |
18 |
GRI |
35.6 |
15.5 |
51.1 |
14 |
$95,770,000 |
16 |
SMM |
35.5 |
10.1 |
45.6 |
15 |
$84,009,000 |
17 |
LTR |
25.6 |
19.2 |
44.8 |
16 |
$114,890,000 |
12 |
SMC |
26.3 |
18.1 |
44.4 |
17 |
$144,822,000 |
5 |
FLA |
21.4 |
22.8 |
44.2 |
18 |
$133,919,000 |
10 |
VOL |
24.4 |
19.2 |
43.6 |
19 |
$113,062,000 |
13 |
FWK |
17.7 |
16.5 |
34.2 |
20 |
$42,776,000 |
23 |
GOT |
18.4 |
14.7 |
33.1 |
21 |
$40,568,000 |
24 |
PAN |
18.1 |
12.3 |
30.4 |
22 |
$55,092,000 |
22 |
SFS |
17.7 |
11.3 |
29.0 |
23 |
$78,516,000 |
19 |
BOM |
10.8 |
5.0 |
15.8 |
24 |
$55,127,000 |
21 |
AVG |
30 |
19.5 |
49.5 |
|
$111,575,875 |
|
The Los Angeles Halos take home the
WAR crown and the Salary crown while the most intriguing team could be the
Philadelphia Smackdown who have the second highest WAR but have a bargain
basement team salary just under 100 million. Based exclusively on the data
above, the 2013 League Championship Match Ups should be Philadelphia at Los
Angeles and Beartooth at Osama. Time will tell if the WAR comparisons hold
up.
My predictions for the
2013 season are detailed below (in each teams capsule) but I will go on record
saying that the 2013 Champion will be the Beartooth Bitteroots.
Just like last year, I strongly believe the top two teams are in the National
League and pitching and defense is the name of the game. Mike's club
can run out Cueto and Cliff Lee 5 times in a series while every starter except
Prince Fielder has a range AV or above. What Fielder lacks on defense he
certainly makes up with the bat. I do anticipate seeing San Antonio in the NLCS
again this year with a very good chance of repeating. Osama could have
been my pick had it not been for injuries to Kemp and Ellsbury.
The American League is very much up
for grabs in 2013 but I do see Los Angeles winning the pennant again.
Headlining the Yankee'esque squad is starter CC Sabathia and Japan import Yu
Darvish. These two studs will be very hard to beat in a series.
Kentucky has done a nice job building a very tough pen and will prove to be a
dangerous team in the post season. Kentucky could also represent the
American League in the Fall Classic but will have to get through a tough
division to do so.
2013 Simulations Standings |
AL
East |
Record |
Pct |
AL
West |
Record |
Pct |
x-Halos |
106-56 |
.654 |
x-Rats |
96-66 |
.593 |
x-Oil
Barons |
86-76 |
.531 |
x-Smackdown |
94-68 |
.580 |
x-Volcanoes |
86-76 |
.531 |
x-Wildcats |
92-70 |
.568 |
Devils |
84-78 |
.519 |
Grizzlies |
79-83 |
.488 |
Damage |
69-93 |
.426 |
Gladiators |
70-92 |
.432 |
Bombers |
46-116 |
.284 |
CityHawks |
64-99 |
.395 |
NL
East |
Record |
Pct |
NL
West |
Record |
Pct |
x-Saints |
95-67 |
.586 |
x-Camel
Camp |
94-68 |
.580 |
x-Eagles |
90-72 |
.556 |
x-Paddlers |
93-69 |
.574 |
x-Mammoths |
88-74 |
.543 |
y-Raiders |
83-79 |
.512 |
y-Confederates |
83-79 |
.512 |
Bitteroots |
81-81 |
.500 |
Flyers |
77-85 |
.475 |
Seals |
77-85 |
.475 |
Panthers |
53-109 |
.327 |
Komets |
58-104 |
.358 |
x- Indicates Playoff Team y- Indicates a 1
game playoff needed |
On February 28, 2013,
the annual season simulation was run. The table to the right shows the
final standings of the sim. There
is a link to your team reports in each grid. The Los Angeles Halos were the
best simulated team and the only one to win 100 games. The MVP of the sim
would have been Edwin Encarnacion of Newark who had a stat line of .325-58-148.
Josh Willingham of Smith Mills led the league with 60 homers while Melky Cabrera
and his PEDs hit a TBBL best .380. He was disqualified from the batting
crown just because. On the hill, Los Angeles had a pair of 21 game winners
in Jake Peavy (21-4) and Colby Lewis (21-7). Yu Darvish of the Halos
led the league in strike outs with 278 and Ryan Cook of Florida had a league
best 41 saves.
The following teams
contributed manager profiles for the sim: Florida, Jersey, Newark,
Mad City, Philadelphia, California, Emerald City, Fort Wayne, Gotham
City, Kentucky, Glenview, Moon, San Antonio, Houston, Fresno, Beartooth and Colorado. The remaining teams
had their manager profile computer generated.
Here is the
direct
link for the sim results. The
final simulation DB
is
located here for anyone who wants to download it. Please note the sim was
run using the schedule from 2012. We are in the process of modifying the
schedule for the 2013 season and expect to have that ready in the next few days.
Jump to:
AL East |
AL West |
NL East |
NL West
|
|
Team ERA |
5.23 |
|
Team
Batting |
.247-.302-.377 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Crisp |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Jackson |
. |
. |
. |
Cespedes |
. |
Pence |
. |
z |
Patterson |
. |
Eaton |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Jeter |
Solano |
. |
. |
Desmond |
Altuve |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Cain |
Wallace |
. |
Belt |
Chapman |
Nolasco |
Nunex |
. |
LaRoche |
Crain |
Wainwright |
. |
. |
. |
Henderson |
Parker |
a |
. |
. |
Feldman |
Tilman |
a |
Flowers |
a |
Loup |
Porcello |
. |
McKenry |
. |
F. Rodriguez |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Gary Sanchez, Xander Bogaerts, Mason Williams,
Grant Green, Trevor Story, Taijuan Walker, Kyle Crick
and Victor Martinez. First time JER has had less
than 10 aaa players in years. |
Strengths: |
Patience has started to pay off as
my farm guys have made it to the majors; Having some depth to
deal when the time is right; Overall Cain-Wainwright-Parker-Tilman
make up a pretty nice foursome; Chapman was best in the business
last year |
Weaknesses:
|
Team is a bit RH heavy; pen could be
better as well and playing home games in homer friendly Yankee Stadium
could hurt staff; Not having a LH Starter on the roster will hurt,
especially in the Bronx Homer Dome |
GM Thoughts: |
"Phasing Derek Jeter out of the every day lineup in
favor of Ian Desmond will be the hardest thing I do this
year" (Yankee fan being sentimental) |
Prediction:
|
2nd
place. The prediction might be a bit bold but i think we can
make the playoffs this year. No way do we win
division but top 3 should be given. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Damage finished 5th in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.27 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.268-.344-.466 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Granderson |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Gardner |
. |
Heyward |
. |
z |
Davis |
. |
Aoki |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Hardy |
A. Hill |
. |
. |
Ramirez |
Izturis |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Sabathia |
Youkilis |
. |
Teixeira |
Perkins |
Darvish |
Ciriaco |
. |
Ortiz |
Betancourt |
Morrow |
. |
. |
. |
Chamberlain |
Nova |
a |
Y. Molina |
a |
Gregerson |
Peavy |
a |
. |
a |
Downs |
Lewis |
. |
. |
. |
Fein |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
With the promotion of Aoki and Darvish to the ML roster
and the trading of Olt ... the LAH farm system was fully
depleted heading into the draft ... which was something
the team definitely wanted to address. Due to the lack
of patience and luck, the Halos do not have
an internally developed prospects on their major league
roster. However, they have found gold in Japan as Aoki,
Darvish and Lewis are all big parts of current roster
... so it was no surprise that they looked overseas
again for an established Japanese player in this draft
and selected Hiroyuki Nakajima. The team expects him to
be with the club in 2014. With their 1st pick of
the draft 2.27, the Halos' added Kyle Zimmer an electric
arm that they feel could develop quickly and be part of
the rotation by 2015. LAH also grabbed a trio of
outfielders whom they feel all have 5 tool potential:
Michael Choice (expected debut 2014), Rymer Liriano
(expected debut 2015) and Courtney Hawkins (expected
debut 2016). With the 2nd to last pick of the draft
(13.23), the Halos went high risk / high reward as they
selected a young catcher named Jorge Alfero.
Alfero will be a long wait (expected debut 2017), but he
should stay at catcher and his plus-plus power should
get him into the lineup as a DH if Yadier is blocking
him at catcher. |
Strengths: |
Historically, the Halos have found regular season success with
power bats, depth at starting pitching and an
extraordinary bullpen. In 2013, it again looks like the Halos
will again field some heavy lumber with Granderson, Big Papi,
Tex, a developing Heyward and the addition of Aaron Hill. Also,
the offense will be aided by Molina's continued improvement at
the plate. All totaled, the Halos could have 9 players with 20+
homeruns. The pitching staff will again be lead by CC, but
new comer, Yu Darvish, might ultimately prove to be the ace of
the staff this season. There is also high expectations, that
Peavy will return to form now that he is a year removed from his
injury. Also returning will be Morrow, Lewis and Nova. This is
the 1st season that the Halos are returning 5 starting pitchers
and it potentially could be the strongest starting staff in Halo
history if everyone can stay healthy. |
Weaknesses:
|
With the exception of season #1 (2004) bullpen by
committee (Tavarez, Guardardo & Beck), Mo Rivera has
anchored the bullpen and led the team in saves finishing
his career in LA as not only the Halo career save leader
but also the TBBL career save leader with 328
saves. Obviously, Mo was a major reason why the Halos'
bullpen over the years has been arguably the best in the
business. In 2013, the bullpen boasts some strong arms
but no clear cut closer. Betancourt is the most likely
to take over this season with Gregerson or Pestano
waiting in the wings if necessary. There is more comfort
from the left side with Perkins, Oliver and O'Flaherty.
If the Halos wheel and deal at the trade deadline, it is
likely that it will be to address the bullpen. |
GM Thoughts: |
The Halos have been notorious traders over the years,
seemingly revamping the roster every season through
trades. However, the 2013 roster returns more players
than in any previous season. The only additions via
trade were Aaron Hill to fill a glaring hole at 2b and
Luke Gregerson to add bullpen depth. Gregerson was
actually drafted by the Halos in 2010, so not exactly a
new face. What this new approach will mean in terms of
wins, remains to be seen but expectation, as always. are
high in Los Angeles. 2012 finally saw the Halos
experience some playoff success as they won 8 straight
playoff games, before being dismissed by the Saints in 5
games in the World Series. In 2013, the Halos hope to
capture their 6th straight division crown and return to
the World Series in their continuing effort to win their
2nd World Championship. As this roster ages and the rest
of the teams in the league continue to improve, the
window to accomplish this goal is closing so there
certainly will be an urgency this season. |
Prediction:
|
1st
place. The Halos are too good not to win the AL East in 2013.
A first round playoff bye and a trip to the LCS are
expected for Los Angeles. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Halos finished
1st in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
4.24 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.268-.329-.437 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Gomez |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Morgan |
. |
. |
. |
Ross |
. |
Upton |
. |
z |
Me.
Cabrera |
. |
Cuddyer |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Segura |
Weeks |
. |
. |
Plouffe |
Espinosa |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Hernandez |
Seager |
. |
Davis |
Bell |
Garcia |
Machado |
. |
. |
Valverde |
Volquez |
. |
. |
. |
Strop |
Burnett |
a |
. |
. |
Albers |
Pettitte |
a |
Mauer |
a |
Reynolds |
Hughes |
. |
Barajas |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
The Houston franchise apparently believes having just
pitching and outfielders is the way to build a team
since they have 5 outfielders and 4 pitchers in their
minor league system . . . and nothing else. That said,
there is a lot to like about the group. Buxton and Dahl
were both MLB draftees this past year and already are
finding their names near the tops of outfield prospect
lists. Goodwin, Springer and Starling all have made
good progress in their minor league assignments and
management is hopeful that they stay on the fast track.
The four pitchers are Appel, Gausman, Manaea and
(Jonathon) Crawford. There was disappointment a year
ago when Appel returned to school for another season . .
. but he is near the top of the 2013 MLB mock drafts
again. Gausman began his pro career this year and has
been receiving solid ratings for his work. Manaea and
Crawford are a couple of college pitchers that
management is gambling can turn into something special. |
Strengths: |
I guess I would count it as a strength that I have at least a
pretty good player at each position. As long as Mauer stays
behind the plate he will be a strength. And I will be joining
Braves fans in hoping that Justin Upton begins to look like an
MVP caliber player consistently. On the pitching side, Felix
Hernandez fronts the rotation and is a true ace. |
Weaknesses:
|
After Felix, the rotation is shaky and may get worse in
the next year or so unless some pitching prospects move
very fast. Likewise, the bullpen has been patched
together and lacks a true, shot down arm. |
GM Thoughts: |
I think that the roster is solid but unspectacular.
Relatively weak starting pitching that is not being
shored up by a stellar bullpen will likely lead to a
middle of the pack finish |
Prediction:
|
4th
place. The Barons are a tough team for me to
size up. There are some really good players at key
positions and a very deep farm system to deal from if
needed. Playoffs are possible. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Oil Barons finished
2nd in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Florida Devils |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
Marc Kramer |
2012
Record |
72-90 (3rd
place) |
|
Team ERA |
4.44 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.250-.307-.401 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Fowler |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Campana |
. |
. |
. |
Wells |
. |
Cruz |
. |
z |
Robinson |
. |
Colvin/Torres |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Barmes |
Ackley |
. |
. |
Dozier |
. |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Wolf |
Johnson |
. |
Pena |
Nathan |
Lohse |
Inge |
. |
. |
Alberquerque |
Colon |
. |
. |
. |
Choate |
Sanchez |
a |
. |
. |
M. Rivera |
Bedard |
a |
Doumit |
. |
Bowden |
Danks |
. |
Rosario |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Cutter Dykstra is engaged
to Jamie Lynn Siegler from the Sopranos ... Bada Bing!!! |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide any comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Prediction:
|
5th
place. The Devils did well in some of the sims I ran but I
think the East is too tough for them to finish in
playoff contention. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Devils finished
4th in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
6.20 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.241-.308-.391 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Upton |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Maxwell |
. |
. |
. |
Pierre |
. |
C. Wells |
. |
z |
Pollock |
. |
Rivera |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
LeMahieu |
Galvis |
. |
. |
. |
Giovatella |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Happ |
Betemit |
. |
Olt |
Balfour |
Beavan |
Donald |
. |
Rivera |
Bailey |
Carpenter |
. |
. |
. |
Pryor |
Francis |
a |
. |
. |
Lincoln |
Alvarez |
a |
Iannetta |
. |
Wright |
Straily |
. |
Perez |
. |
Penny |
Gomez |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
This
is where the main strength lies with the Bombers club.
Currently, there are 7 prospects from the 2013 MLB top
100 prospect list on the roster. Ryu Hyun-Jin, who was
recently signed by the Dodgers from Korea and is looking
to make the rotation this year. Danny Hultzen, James
Paxton and Matt Barnes may get a cup of water in the
bigs this year. Dan Straily and Mike Olt already had a
brief stint last year and look to get major playing time
in 2013. Last but not least, a pair of SS’s in
Francisco Lindor and Carlos Correa could be ready by
2014 if their development continues. |
Strengths: |
This is tough
to write, because the farm system is really the only strength of
the Bombers. Two years in a row of having either the #1 or #2
pick, and having 4 or 5 picks in the first round in the last two
years has given the GM a chance to establish some future organic
growth within the club. One of last year’s 1st round
picks, Salvador Perez, already has made an impact and looks to
be a potent offensive catcher for years to come. And a young
staff could make the Bombers relevant soon. |
Weaknesses:
|
The
Bombers will again sit amongst the cellar dwellers this
year, as the actual useful position players on the
roster are few and far between, and it will be a patch
work to the end of the season with filling the starting
lineup. |
GM Thoughts: |
The
next two years will need to be more about obtaining
relevant, current use players to the clubhouse to help
augment the minor league prospects that have been added
the last two drafts. Hopefully much like the real life
Rays, spending a few years at the bottom will produce
plenty of young stars to fill the 40-man roster for many
years to come. With just the 2nd draft under
my belt, hopefully I have enough patience to see this
long term plan through. Realistically, the club looks
to be near .500 caliber next year, and then playoff
worthy 2-3 years out. |
Prediction:
|
6th
place. The Bombers continue their rebuilding process while
perhaps targeting 2015 for a serious run. Their
prospects are nearing the big leagues and 2013 is a
pivotal year for their development. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Bombers finished
6th in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
4.40 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.243-.300-.57 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Werth |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Smith |
. |
Suzuki |
. |
z |
Dunn |
. |
Snider |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Castro |
Beckham |
. |
. |
. |
Casilla |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Lincecum |
Donaldson |
. |
Morales |
Jones |
Grienke |
Callaspo |
. |
Carter |
Crow |
Hellickson |
. |
. |
Gomes |
Cashner |
Sale |
a |
. |
. |
Lopez |
Minor |
a |
Martin |
. |
Hughes |
Jiminez |
. |
Marson |
. |
. |
Peralta |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Oscar Tavares, Christian Yelich, Kaleb
Cowart, Cheslor Cuthbert, Jon Schoop, Brad Miller, Jose
Fernandez, Taylor Guerrieri |
Strengths: |
Young SP’s Sale, Hellickson, Minor and Peralta all showed
promise. Rotation ace Greinke, if Lincecum and Jimenez bounce
back could be a tough bunch. Bullpen is looking solid, not
spectacular but should get job done, committee style.
Offense lead by Starlin Castro/ Kendry Morales and awaiting the
arrival of Tavares, Yelich, Fernandez next yr. |
Weaknesses:
|
Aging vets Suzuki, Dunn, Werth, Gomes,
how much left in tank? Lincecum , Jimenez if they
continue to slide. No clear cut closer. 2b output |
GM Thoughts: |
The big trade of 2012 now beginning to
pay rewards, Castro a top SS, Sale had a very nice
season, Dunn back to old self, avg barely over .200 but
40 bombs modern day “KONG”, Crow solid in pen + Morales
bounced back for a decent season. Plus newly acquired
platoon of Seth Smith and Gomes will fit nicely. Key to
2013 can our SP perform as expected, if so we, might
just surprise some teams and squeak into playoffs. Going
from 99 & 96 wins to 51 last yr was tough. 2013 club has
sights set on postseason but even to improve to .500
would be a vast improvement. |
Prediction:
|
3rd
place. The Volcanoes have a very good team despite the 51 win
2012 season. Starting pitching is very good and
will be heavily relied on in 2013. Team could
finish anywhere in top 3 but playoffs should be
considered a given. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Volcanoes finished 3rd in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.67 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.270-.346-.459 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Stubbs |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Heisey |
. |
. |
. |
Moss |
. |
Choo |
. |
z |
Kearns |
. |
Denorfia |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Furcal |
Hairston |
. |
. |
Cozart |
. |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Halladay |
Reynolds |
. |
Votto |
Kimbrel |
Arroyo |
Alvarez |
. |
Berkman |
Street |
Bailey |
. |
. |
Scott |
Mottre |
Beckett |
a |
. |
Hafner |
Allen |
Harang |
a |
Ruiz |
. |
Horst |
Bauer |
. |
Grandal |
. |
Hoover |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Daniel aaaCorcino-2nd
coming of Johny Cueto? Robert aaaStephenson-Potential #2
starter. Kyuji aaaFujikawa-Potential Closer. Dorssys
aaaPaulino, ss-2-3 years, solid 2nd baseman, maybe SS
but doubtful. Henry aaaOwens-Stringbean with control
problems but throws hard with movement. Henry
aaaUrrutia, OF, BAL-Cuba deflector, enough said, oh,
also has Eric Davis physique. |
Strengths: |
The 8th and 9th inning should be
save with Craig Kimbrel, Huston Street, Jason Motte, and Paul
Hoover. The offense should be very strong and score enough
runs to win a few slugfests. Votto, Moss, Chavez, and Alvarez
should team with Choo to strike terror in the eyes of RHP. Not
as strong against LHP. |
Weaknesses:
|
The
starting rotation, once again, is a joke. While the 8th
and 9th looks solid, the 1st 7 innings will be scary
times. At bats limitations will take a toll as the
season winds down. 2nd base is a hole, deep down weak. |
GM Thoughts: |
This Kentucky WildCats
team should be the best team that has represented the
Bluegrass state in several years. Expectations are
to win 90-92 games and make the playoffs. In a short
series, with a great bullpen and strong offense,
surprises to be in order. No one in Kentucky management
sees this as a Championship team but it
should throw a scare into some and will be fun to
manage. This is a team put together for the playoffs,
now if they can only get there. |
Prediction:
|
1st
place. Kentucky is the class of the toughest division in the
TBBL. Head to Head play will be the key for
Kentucky winning the West. We will likely see most
players at the 109% usage level in mid September with
the GM squeezing out as many at bats as possible to
secure the # 2 seed in the post season. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Wildcats finished
3rd in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Gotham
CityHawks |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
Chris Longo |
2012 Record |
63-99 (6th
place) |
|
Team ERA |
4.70 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.242-.300-.356 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Bourjos |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Parra |
. |
. |
. |
Viciedo |
. |
Brown |
. |
z |
Ibanez |
. |
Dirks |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Escobar |
Johnson |
. |
. |
Gregorious |
. |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Chen |
Middlebrooks |
. |
Goldschmidt |
Delabar |
Latos |
Polanco |
. |
. |
Boggs |
Hutchinson |
. |
. |
. |
Grimm |
Norris |
a |
. |
. |
Perez |
Saunders |
a |
Norris |
. |
Reed |
Pomeranz |
. |
Salty |
. |
Phelps |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Gotham's farm is a conscience balance of promise and
proximity. We've passed on potential higher ceiling,
higher risk, prospects in order to draft guys who still
have solid upside, coupled with a greater chance to
reach the majors. Now entering year two of a full-blown
rebuild we are still trying to build our franchise's
nucleus by acquiring guys we feel are a year or two
away. If they don't look like they will pan out Gotham
execs will cut their losses and restock.
This is not without risk. Hasty
judgment could easily lead to a costly mistake, however,
our franchise has too many needs to sit on a bunch of
prospects for 3-4 yrs at this time. That philosophy will
change once our team's year-to-year core is established.
It will be then when the high risk/reward picks become
more of the norm. Overall we are happy with our farm's
progress. We have a number of middle to back half of the
top 100 prospects that we expect to be part of the
solution in Gotham for years to come. |
Strengths: |
Youth. It's been a veteran exodus over the past two years in
Gotham. We spoke about the farm already. We are definitely
amongst the youngest teams in the league, and after this season,
probably the youngest. Promising young corners infielders with
power. Outfield depth. An improving team defense. |
Weaknesses:
|
The rotation. We are striving to build rotation that can
go 8 or 9 deep with quality options to carry year over
year. We have acquired a number of young pitchers via
the trade and draft routes, now that has to begin to
take shape. Outfield depth is a strength, but we really
need a couple of them to step forward if Gotham is to be
successful in a couple years. We will eventually need LH
power to better balance the lineup. The bullpen is
shallow, but that is least of our concerns as a
rebuilding team and will be the last thing we address. |
GM Thoughts: |
When the long standing Michigan franchise changed
management and moved operations to Gotham last year, it
was obvious that this was a veteran team on the decline.
The commitment to winning comes in many forms. For
Gotham, this manifested itself as a long term plan to
rebuild the entire franchise from the ground up. We knew
coming in that this could take 4, possibly 5, seasons to
turn around. Though it will be tempting to try and take
short cuts to become competitive sooner, Gotham
management is resolute in their stance that they need to
see their long term strategy through. It's the only way
achieve our goals of becoming a perennial contender in
the future.
The first year saw almost 70% of the roster turned over
from the year before. Year two will be one that focuses
on player evaluation with close attention paid to the
real life performances of the farm and young on-disk
players. Hopefully, we see some more pieces of the
puzzle fall into place and the roster turnover ratio
reduced by 50% or more. If not, year three may look a
lot like year two. Time will tell. |
Prediction:
|
6th
place. Second year of 3 year plan is in place for Gotham.
Gone are all the elder statesmen making room for the
young and exciting players. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
CityHawks finished
6th in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.97 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.259-.327-.407 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Pagan |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Holliday |
. |
Joyce |
. |
z |
Young |
. |
Garcia |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Rollins |
Punto |
. |
. |
Ryan |
Carroll |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Lester |
Hannahan |
. |
Wigginton |
Rodney |
Weaver |
Moore |
. |
Cooper |
Soriano |
Lannan |
. |
. |
. |
Thatcher |
Chen |
a |
. |
. |
Peralta |
Capuano |
a |
Stewart |
. |
Badenhop |
. |
. |
Thole |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide any
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide any comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Prediction:
|
4th
place. The Rats and Grizzlies may flip flop
all season in the standings but both are good enough to
make the playoffs if the East disappoints. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Rats finished
1st in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Fresno
Grizzlies |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
Richard
Vargas |
2012
Record |
112-50
(1st Place) |
|
Team ERA |
3.15 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.298-.367-.471 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Dyson |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Johnson |
. |
. |
. |
Murphy |
. |
Revere |
. |
z |
Nava |
. |
Sweeney |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Avilles |
Zobrist |
. |
. |
Bloomquist |
Andino |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Cahill |
Nelson |
. |
Helton |
Myers |
Lilly |
Herrera |
. |
Jones |
Guerra |
Correia |
. |
. |
. |
Johnson |
DeVries |
a |
. |
. |
Norberto |
Wood |
a |
Napoli |
. |
Logan |
C. Young |
. |
Hanigan |
. |
Grilli |
Millwood |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
No one...I just don't use the minor
league system for my team. |
Strengths: |
It varies from year to year, since I don't use the minor league
system I just draft what I need to fill the holes or make
trades. |
Weaknesses:
|
This season...probably my starting
pitching since last year my starters took major hits
between 2 being convert to different roles and 2 injured
and the rest just having bad years |
GM Thoughts: |
I just try to be competitive
every season....sometimes it works, sometimes it
doesn't. |
Prediction:
|
5th place. Could this be the best 5th place
team in the history of the TBBL? Can Mike Napoli
repeat last years epic season? |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Grizzlies finished 4th in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
4.74 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.288-.344-.429 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Bourn |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Jay |
. |
. |
. |
Bonifacio |
. |
Reddick |
. |
z |
Gentry |
. |
Kalish |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Cabrera |
Murphy |
. |
. |
Keppinger |
Profar |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Strasburg |
Ramirez |
. |
Alonso |
Stammen |
Dickey |
Moustakas |
. |
Baker |
Marmol |
Masterson |
. |
. |
. |
Salas |
Johnson |
a |
. |
. |
Lyons |
Rodriguez |
a |
Buck |
. |
Hermann |
Garcia |
. |
Laird |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
The
crown jewel of the Smackdown farm system is Jurickson
Profar, who will hopefully be ready to contribute to the
Smackdown in 2014. After him, the current farm system
is many years from producing in a meaningful way. Ryan
Kalish, Robbie Grossman, and Tim Wheeler profile as
fourth outfielder types that may see some MLB action in
2013 so could provide some ABs to the Smackdown next
year. After skipping prospects for the first part of
the 2013 TBBL draft to fill gaps in the major league
team, the Smackdown looked at longer-term plays,
drafting Kris Bryant and Austin Wilson, two college
players that project to go in the first round of this
year’s MLB draft, and Lucas Giolitto and Aldaberto
Mondesi, both 17 year-olds with promise but a lot to
prove (plus Giolitto is recovering from TJ surgery).
Hopefully Bryant, Wilson, Giolitto, and Mondesi will be
seen as top 100 prospects next year. |
Strengths: |
After leading
a 9-21 collapse last September that pushed the Smackdown far
away from a playoff berth, with three starters producing ERAs
near 8 and a fourth near 6 for the month, starting pitching
looks to be a strength this year. The Smackdown get a full year
from Stephen Strasburg for the first time, and R.A. Dickey was
added to front the staff in a trade for Will Middlebrooks and
Bud Norris. The Dickey trade pushes Josh Johnson back to the #3
spot, giving the Smackdown a very strong top 3. Wandy
Rodriguez, hoping to rebound from a horrendous 2012 TBBL (325
baserunners in 195 innings anyone?), is the #4 starter and Jake
Westbrook is the #5. Defense will also be a strength,
especially with the addition of #1 draft pick Everth Cabrera at
shortstop and lots of range in the outfield of John Jay, Michael
Bourn, and Josh Reddick. |
Weaknesses:
|
The
Smackdown will need that pitching and defense recipe to
win as the offense may have trouble scoring runs. Power
hitting continues to be a weakness, with only Aramis
Ramirez and Reddick offering decent power. When Jeff
Keppinger is the guy with your team’s second-highest
OPS, you know you might have trouble scoring. The
Smackdown will have to rely on speed, stringing together
multiple hits, and some Jim Thome pinch-hit homers to
plate enough runs this year. Catching is also a
weakness, with John Buck and his sub .200 batting
average slated to get the majority of the starts. The
bullpen could go either way – there’s some quality there
with Sergio Romo, Neftali Feliz, and Craig Stammen, but
the depth will be tested. |
GM Thoughts: |
I
anticipate the Smackdown will do a good enough job
limiting runs with strong starting pitching and defense
and just enough with the offense that we’ll end up with
a positive run differential, a winning record, and a
wildcard playoff spot. If the pitching tanks, it’s
going to be a long year. If the Smackdown do get to the
playoffs, Dickey, Strasburg, and Johnson could make the
Smackdown a tough opponent. |
Prediction:
|
2nd
place. WAR doesn't lie and Philadelphia will be in the 2013
post season. Great starters are this teams
strength and seeing Strasburg 3 times in a series will
make it very difficult for any opponent. Team
could make it all the way to ALCS where anything can
happen. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Smackdown finished
2nd in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
4.43 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.283-.353-.456 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Young |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Saunders |
. |
. |
. |
Quentin |
. |
Ethier |
. |
z |
Trumbo |
. |
Blanco |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Aybar |
Pedroia |
. |
. |
Ramirez |
. |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Gonzalez |
Francisco |
. |
Konerko |
Breslow |
Kennedy |
Dominguez |
. |
. |
Collins |
J. Santana |
. |
. |
. |
Herrera |
E. Santana |
a |
. |
. |
Mujuca |
Blanton |
a |
Montero |
. |
Brach |
. |
. |
Pena |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
The Glads did a nice job re-stocking a
depleted farm system in this year's draft, grabbing up
young hurlers Max Fried, Ryne Stanek and postion
prospects Albert Almora, Dan Vogelbach, and Austin
Meadows. |
Strengths: |
Lineup and bullpen. The lineup, led by Pedroia, Ethier, Trumbo
Konerko , and company, is again strong. A deep pen is needed in
Coors Field and Herrera was added to Hernandez, Collins, and
Mujica - strong pen. |
Weaknesses:
|
The starting rotation; even a return of
all-time Glads winner, Joe Blanton won't save us this
year. Gio and Kennedy are a decent 1-2 but the Santana
brothers, and Blanton may struggle. |
GM Thoughts: |
A team record 92-win team in
2012, returns strong again in 2013. If the rotation can
consistently give us 5 decent innings our lineup and
bullpen should be able to pull out enough games to make
a return trip to the TBBL playoffs. |
Prediction:
|
3rd place. I really had a tough time picking
Colorado 3rd. This team is really good and would
not surprise me if the won the West. No doubt if
Casey needs to make a move to improve the team in July
he will. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Gladiators finished
5th in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.24 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.269-.341-.442 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Maybin |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Duda |
. |
. |
. |
Crawford |
. |
Bautista |
. |
z |
Sutton |
. |
Stanton |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Reyes |
Uggla |
. |
. |
Kozma |
Walker |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Haren |
Wright |
. |
Gonzalez |
Papelbon |
Garza |
. |
. |
Rizzo |
Valdes |
Price |
. |
. |
. |
Robertson |
Harrell |
a |
. |
. |
Tazawa |
Niese |
a |
Posey |
. |
Fife |
Marcum |
. |
Ramos |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
I think my farm hands are all young but
promising. It is discouraging that Trahan and Roache
didn’t make the Top 100 list, but I think they will in
the near future. |
Strengths: |
Hitting, especially
against LHPs. I hope we can turn the seasons that Posey, Wright
and Stanton had in 2012 into a strong playoff run. |
Weaknesses:
|
pitching. I think we will do
well in the regular season but don’t know if we have the aces to survive
against the stacked teams we’ll see in the playoffs. |
GM Thoughts: |
I love Rob’s
commitment to making everything about the TBBL
excellent. The web page is astounding. The deadlines
are crisp and reliable. The competition is top notch.
This is a league I would recommend in a heartbeat
to anyone who wants a top-shelf DMB experience. |
Prediction:
|
1st place. Clear cut favorite in the division
and expectations in San Antonio are back to back World
Series trips. A little birdie told me Anthony
Rizzo may be in LF come opening day!! Team can do
it all. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Saints finished
1st in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.98 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.262-.319-.416 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Hamilton |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Martin |
. |
. |
. |
Prado |
. |
Soriano |
. |
z |
Ruf |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Escobar |
Kendrick |
. |
. |
Simmons |
. |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Vogelsong |
Jones |
. |
Howard |
Storen |
Dempster |
Young |
. |
Moreland |
Cishek |
Beachy |
. |
. |
. |
Venters |
Liriano |
a |
. |
. |
Matusz |
Griffin |
a |
McCann |
. |
Ogando |
Teheran |
. |
Ross |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Travis D'Arnaud leads this farm system followed by
Gattis, Gilmartin, Martin, Meter and Graham. |
Strengths: |
There is some
depth at SS for the future and Prado can play just about
everywhere. Unfortunately, he can only hit once every 9
batters. Also, Hamilton roaming in CF should provide some pop
alongside Alfonso Soriano. Chipper Jones will begin his farewell
tour in hopes of putting up some impressive numbers. If any
owners would like to send him a farewell gift, they are more
than welcome to do so. I will provide an address for shipment
upon request. The catching tandem of McCann and Ross is decent.
|
Weaknesses:
|
Cannot master the tomahawk chop? |
GM Thoughts: |
The
Confederates come into the season trying to make their
fourth consecutive appearance in the playoffs. It will
certainly be a challenge as the team is quite thin in
most areas. Led by a one-two punch of Vogel song and
Dempster, probably spells trouble for a team with Mitch
Moreland grazing in RF for half the season. Michael
Young coming off a down year and Escobar playing
significantly below his historical stats also lends to
concern for the Confederate’s brass. The bullpen also
leaves little to be desired as most of the arms for this
year are mediocre at best.
The
GM of the Confederates is on the hot seat as he has been
on a bit of a bad streak in terms of trades lately. He
decided to go with a youth movement during the draft as
he did not select one player above the age of 27. It’s
obvious this team will struggle unless some significant
trades are made to help the Confederates this year.
Otherwise, the Confederates will take their lumps and
hope some of the young guys along with their current
veterans can make a splash next year.
The
Confederates probably have a ceiling of 75 wins with a
floor of 60 wins. |
Prediction:
|
5th
place. hard for me to pick Stone Mountain to finish so low but
down years from some key players will hurt them.
Will Joe make some moves and prove my prediction wrong? |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Confederates finished
4th in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Glenview Flyers |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
John Lapham |
2012
Record |
69-93 (5th
place) |
|
Team ERA |
4.36 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.252-.312-.371 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Jones |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Bernadina |
. |
. |
. |
Mayberry |
. |
Tabata |
. |
z |
Guzman |
. |
Schierholtz |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Drew |
Kipinis |
. |
. |
Nix |
Schumacker |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
McCarthy |
Headley |
. |
Swisher |
Axford |
Miley |
Cruz |
. |
. |
Brothers |
Kuroda |
. |
. |
. |
Uehara |
Milone |
a |
. |
. |
Thayer |
Holland |
a |
Arencibia |
. |
Thornton |
Estrada |
. |
Molina |
. |
Miller |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Javier Baez, ss, Jackie Bradley, cf, Garin Cecchini, 3b,
Clint Coulter, c, Jon Denney, c, Clint Frazier, cf, Luis
Heredia, sp, Lance McCullers, sp, Jonathan Singleton,
1b, Matt Szczur, cf |
Strengths: |
A deep and
talented farm system, with several key players in the upper
minors and ready to take the next step, as well as depth in the
lower minors and amateur ranks. A pair of all-star caliber
hitters in the middle of the lineup with Adam Jones and Chase
Headley. A deep rotation with no real weak links. Derek Lowe,
the franchise leader in nearly every major counting stat, will
not need to make many starts, having finally been relegated to
mop-up duty. |
Weaknesses:
|
No ace at the top of
the rotation. No dominant closer. A couple of weak bats at the bottom
of the lineup |
GM Thoughts: |
Steady progress in year four of the long and arduous
rebuilding process. Several players appear to be
reaching their potential (Adam Jones, Headley, Kipnis,
Estrada) and several prospects appear on the verge of
contributing on the big league level (Shelby Miller,
Jake Odorizzi, Jonathan Singleton, and Jackie Bradley).
I am hopeful to get to 80 wins this season, and if
things break right, possibly even contend for a playoff
spot. |
Prediction:
|
2nd
place. Has Glenview snuck up on all of you
yet? This is a solid team with great balance.
Perhaps 1-2 players away from getting serious
consideration to win the division. Last post
season appearance was 2009 and 2013 should mark their
return. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Flyers finished
5th in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Newark Eagles |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
Mike
Witkowski |
2012
Record |
92-70 (2nd
place) |
|
Team ERA |
4.27 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.261-.322-.461 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Gonzalez |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Ruggiano |
. |
. |
. |
Braun |
. |
Morse |
. |
z |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Utley |
Kinsler |
. |
. |
Tulowitzki |
Rutledge |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Shields |
Encarnacion |
. |
Freeman |
Casilla |
Billingsly |
McDonald |
. |
Hosmer |
C. Capps |
Moore |
. |
. |
. |
Jannsen |
Gallardo |
a |
. |
. |
Ottavino |
Bucholz |
a |
Pierzynski |
. |
Ziegler |
. |
. |
Castillo |
. |
a |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
J.O. Berrios, ,Clayton Blackburn, Nick Castellanos, Jedd
Gyorko, Billy Hamilton, Alen Hanson, Carlos Martinez,
Anthony Rendon,
Carlos Rodon, Jorge Soler, Jameson Taillon |
Strengths: |
Very good power at corner spots;
Shields is a stud |
Weaknesses:
|
Defense could be compromised slightly if
Utley is at SS for an extended period of time |
GM Thoughts: |
Exact quote from the GM:
"See you in October" Wow that's brazen |
Prediction:
|
3rd
place. You read his quote above so let's see if Newark can
play deep into October. Roster has not turned over
much in the past few years so playoff baseball should be
in the cards. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Eagles finished
2nd in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
4.34 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.240-.313-.370 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Jennings |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Denorfia |
. |
. |
. |
Willingham |
. |
DeJesus |
. |
z |
Paul |
. |
Hunter |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
E. Johnson |
Turner |
. |
. |
Cedeno |
Descalso |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Lynn |
Freese |
. |
Carpenter |
Collmenter |
Vargas |
Chisenhall |
. |
Ishakawa |
Rauch |
Arrieta |
. |
. |
. |
Scribner |
Zito |
a |
. |
. |
Avilan |
Skaggs |
a |
Soto |
. |
Hanranahan |
McAllister |
. |
Ellis |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Not
much here for the Mammoths as we enter/continue a
rebuilding era. There are a couple of young pitchers who
might help someday, Tyler Skaggs & Sonny Gray, but
otherwise what you see is what we have. We hope that
Rubby De La Rosa can recover from his arm woes. |
Strengths: |
We do have
some good young players in the lineup; as long as he is healthy,
David Freese is as good as anyone at 3B. Desmond Jennings is
still young enough to improve, this will be his first full
season. The Mammoth pitching staff looks to be pretty decent as
well, with Lance Lynn joining Jason Vargas at the top of the
rotation. Of course, playing our home games in PETCO Park makes
our pitchers look somewhat better than they might really be. |
Weaknesses:
|
The Mammoths lineup
after the first four or five hitters is fairly weak, it looks like we
are going to really be in trouble against LHP's. We took a flyer on
veteran Mark Ellis to shore up second base but still have a multi-player
rotation at SS. |
GM Thoughts: |
We
are hoping to reach .500 this season, you have to walk
before you can run. Looking forward to getting the
season started. |
Prediction:
|
4th
place. The Mammoths finished at or above .500 in almost all of
my sims so this could be the tipping year for Joe's
club. Playoffs are an outside possibilty but I
think 2014 is more realistic. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Mammoths finished
3rd in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
4.01 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.262-.311-.393 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Cain |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Brantley |
. |
Francouer |
. |
z |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Peralta |
Holt |
. |
. |
Lowrie |
Kennedy |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Cobb |
Lawrie |
. |
Craig |
Broxton |
Kelly |
Gillaspie |
. |
Loney |
Bastardo |
Duffy |
. |
. |
. |
Familia |
Gee |
a |
. |
. |
Patton |
Guthrie |
a |
Avila |
. |
Jepsen |
Kendrick |
. |
Conger |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide any
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide any comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Prediction:
|
6th
place. It could be a long year in West Orange
unless Mr. Met learns to swing the bat. A few
potential stars in Cain, Lawrie and Alan Craig lead this
team but ultimately I don't see more than 72 wins in
their future. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Panthers finished
6th in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
5.52 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.233-.295-.389 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Rasmus |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Trout |
. |
Hart |
. |
z |
Berry |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Pennington |
Lombardozzi |
. |
. |
. |
Quintanilla |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
B. Anderson |
Longoria |
. |
Morneua |
Perez |
Bumgarner |
Frazier |
. |
Morneua |
Furbush |
Jackson |
. |
. |
. |
Jansen |
Scherzer |
a |
. |
. |
Mcgee |
Diamond |
a |
Lucroy |
. |
Stults |
Quintana |
. |
Mathis |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
The
Paddlers have a full complement of 10 prospects, 4
position players and 6 pitchers. They are led by Wil
Myers, Mike Zunino, Archie Bradley, Justin Nicolino and
Aaron Sanchez. |
Strengths: |
The Paddlers
went to a full on rebuild last season and thus we have a number
of nice young players. Trout, Longoria, Bumgarner, Scherzer and
Lucroy should be valuable players for a number of years. |
Weaknesses:
|
We are very weak at
shortstop and second base and could use another RH outfielder. Rasmus
needs to step up this year or he may not be a Paddler next season…losing
patience. |
GM Thoughts: |
If
things break well and we catch a couple of breaks, we
have a shot at a playoff spot. A few of our prospects
could get MLB playing time this season. |
Prediction:
|
3rd
place. Mike Trout has arrived and Wil Myers and Mike Zunino
are on their way. Playoff team with a very bright
future if prospects continue their development. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Paddlers finished
2nd in the
NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
4.32 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.242-.292-.378 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Victorino |
. |
. |
. |
. |
De Aza |
. |
. |
. |
Martinez |
. |
Hairston |
. |
z |
Valdespin |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Rodriguez |
Barney |
. |
. |
Iglesias |
Greene |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Buehrle |
Roberts |
. |
Pujols |
Frieri |
Detwiler |
Bell |
. |
Morrison |
Thornburg |
Volstad |
. |
. |
. |
Affeldt |
Worley |
a |
. |
. |
Clippard |
Drabek |
a |
Hernandez |
. |
Miller |
Zambrano |
. |
Kratz |
. |
Blevins |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide any
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide any comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Prediction:
|
6th
place. It might be time for Albert to ask Seal management for
a change of scenery. 72 wins would be ceiling
estimate in my opinion. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Seals finished
5th the
NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Moon Raiders |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
Tom DeCola |
2012
Record |
95-67 (3rd
place) |
|
Team ERA |
3.58 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.270-.319-.420 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Nieuwenhuis |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Ludwick |
. |
Beltran |
. |
z |
Kubel |
. |
Bogusevic |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Tejeda |
Cano |
. |
. |
. |
Theriot |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Fister |
Beltre |
. |
C. Lee |
Putz |
Harrison |
Dobbs |
-- |
Butler |
Balfour |
Richard |
. |
. |
. |
Dotel |
Wilson |
a |
. |
. |
Walden |
Zimmerman |
a |
Hundley |
. |
Frasor |
Romero |
. |
Brantley |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide any
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide any comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide any
comments |
Prediction:
|
4th
place. Moon and Mad City will finish 3-4 and both teams are
playoff caliber. Tom's club could be a 2nd place
team in the AL East. Robbie Cano is the smoothest
2b in the game. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Raiders finished 3rd in the
NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.30 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.268-.341-.414 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
McCutcheon |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Harper |
. |
. |
. |
Gordon |
. |
Bruce |
. |
z |
Marte |
. |
Sappelt |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Andrus |
Phillips |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
C. Lee |
Rodriguez |
. |
Fielder |
League |
Hanson |
Valbeuna |
. |
Parmalee |
Adams |
Cueto |
. |
. |
. |
Marshall |
Fiers |
a |
. |
. |
Rodriguez |
Leake |
a |
Shoppach |
. |
Doolittle |
. |
. |
Mesoraco |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide any
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide any comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide any
comments |
Prediction:
|
1st
place. Beartooth should battle it out with
Osama all season for the top spot in the West.
Their top 2 starters match up well with Osama and they
may have a better overall lineup but as we all know
pitching and defense win championships. NLCS bound
with a World Series trip in their future. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Bitteroots finished
4th in the NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
2.98 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.277-.332-.457 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Kemp |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Rios |
. |
. |
. |
Ellsbury |
. |
Markakis |
. |
z |
LaHair |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Crawford |
Infante |
. |
. |
Hechevarria |
. |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Kershaw |
Zimmerman |
. |
Cabrera |
Veras |
Verlander |
-- |
. |
Smoak |
Johnson |
Harvey |
. |
. |
. |
Davis |
Hamels |
a |
. |
. |
Aumont |
Hudson |
a |
Weiters |
. |
Morales |
Samardzija |
. |
Montero |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide any
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide any comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Prediction:
|
2nd
place. Injuries to Kemp and Ellsbury are going
to derail their chances of winning the West but with the
1-2 punch of Kershaw and Verlander along with the latest
best hitter on the planet Osama can go very deep into
October. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Camel Camp
Boys finished
1st in the
NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Fort Wayne Komets |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
Stan
Shawinski |
2012
Record |
54-108 (5th
place) |
|
Team ERA |
5.03 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.255-.309-.394 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
. |
Span |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Young |
. |
. |
. |
Thames |
. |
Boesch |
. |
z |
Martinez |
. |
Davis |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Cabrera |
Weeks |
. |
. |
Gonzalez |
Harrison |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Chatwood |
Sandoval |
. |
Adams |
Burnett |
Doubront |
Hairston |
. |
Carp |
Shaw |
Hammel |
. |
. |
. |
Santiago |
Hudson |
a |
. |
. |
McPherson |
McDonald |
a |
Santana |
. |
Logan |
Floyd |
. |
Sanchez |
. |
. |
Medlen |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Jose Campos and Jaret
Mitchell |
Strengths: |
Carlos Santana
behind the dish and Kris Medlen can be a huge trade chip if FWK
chooses to move either |
Weaknesses:
|
Pablo Sandoval's eating habits?
Rumor has it he "bulked" up |
GM Thoughts: |
What can you say about this team? Not a
whole lot that’s for sure. There is that “P” word that
has been bantered around the front office this year and
I guess we’ll find out just how much POTENTIAL there is
here. This year we’ll see if Chris Davis is the
real deal or smoke and mirrors. Sorry to you Chris
Carpenter owners, but here’s hoping Rosenthal steps up
in a big way. Which Jemille Weeks will we see this
year; it’s an odd year so the Panda should be healthy
all year. Much attention was paid to the pitching staff
this off season so hopefully the likes of Richards,
Doubront, Corbin and Santiago will help solidify things.
If healthy and productive the infield should be in good
shape. As far as the outfield goes, wait till next year
lol. |
Prediction:
|
5th place. Fort Wayne could be involved in
some big trades come July with their eyes on 2014 and
beyond. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Komets finished
6th in the
NL West in the February 281 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|